Using the CMS extrapolation methodology, how much could an insurance company save by deleting an unsupported diagnosis during a retrospective audit?

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The use of the CMS extrapolation methodology in risk adjustment audits allows insurance companies to determine the financial impact of unsupported diagnoses. When a diagnosis is found to be unsupported during a retrospective audit, the insurance company may not receive the funding it anticipated based on that diagnosis. By removing it from their risk adjustment data, the company avoids potential overpayments for that diagnosis.

The methodology takes into account various aspects such as the sample size, the total number of records, and the estimated cost per diagnosis, leading to a significant projection of total savings across the entire population examined. An estimation of $525,000 indicates a total extrapolated amount reflecting the potential cost avoidance for the whole year or for the affected population, showcasing how high the stakes can be for each unsupported diagnosis removed. This figure accounts for far more than just the immediate loss associated with a singular diagnosis and emphasizes the cumulative effect necessary to ensure financial integrity within the risk adjustment framework.

By focusing on such substantial figures, one can appreciate the rigorous nature of audits and the various methods employed by CMS to safeguard funds and ensure that claims reflect accurate patient care data. This underscores the importance of maintaining comprehensive and supported diagnoses throughout the audit process.

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